Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000032 0.000037 0.000041 0.000047 0.000053 0.000059 0.000067
2024-10-13 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000058 0.000070 0.000085
2024-10-20 0.000021 0.000028 0.000036 0.000047 0.000060 0.000076 0.000097
2024-10-27 0.000018 0.000026 0.000035 0.000047 0.000063 0.000083 0.000111
2024-11-03 0.000016 0.000023 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000089 0.000122
2024-11-10 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000137
2024-11-17 0.000013 0.000021 0.000032 0.000049 0.000072 0.000105 0.000152
2024-11-24 0.000012 0.000020 0.000032 0.000049 0.000076 0.000112 0.000166
2024-12-01 0.000011 0.000019 0.000030 0.000049 0.000076 0.000116 0.000176
2024-12-08 0.000010 0.000017 0.000029 0.000048 0.000077 0.000120 0.000186
2024-12-15 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000048 0.000080 0.000126 0.000200
2024-12-22 0.000009 0.000016 0.000029 0.000050 0.000084 0.000136 0.000219
2024-12-29 0.000008 0.000015 0.000028 0.000050 0.000087 0.000143 0.000234
2025-01-05 0.000008 0.000015 0.000028 0.000052 0.000091 0.000153 0.000255
2025-01-12 0.000007 0.000014 0.000027 0.000050 0.000091 0.000155 0.000264
2025-01-19 0.000006 0.000013 0.000027 0.000051 0.000093 0.000162 0.000280
2025-01-26 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000050 0.000094 0.000167 0.000292
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000012 0.000026 0.000051 0.000098 0.000176 0.000313
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000012 0.000026 0.000052 0.000101 0.000185 0.000334
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000012 0.000026 0.000053 0.000105 0.000194 0.000354
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000011 0.000025 0.000052 0.000105 0.000197 0.000365
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000024 0.000052 0.000105 0.000201 0.000377
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000052 0.000108 0.000208 0.000396